Almost had my third clean slate in a row, but I made a last second change and changed one of my tickets to Chicago. Pffffffff it went up in smoke as Chicago managed to lose to Miami in gruesome fashion. We are now deep enough into the season where I will list the teams I've used for each ticket. That way you can better judge my thought process.
Used: Baltimore, Los Angeles Rams, KC, Los Angeles Chargers, Carolina, Minnesota
Week 7: Atlanta
FiveThirtyEight has Atlanta at 80% win probability with an ELO based line of -10. I like Atlanta at home on MNF to dispatch the Giants.
note: this contest started in NFL week 2 so there are one fewer teams listed in the used column
Pool Eight: LA Rams, KC, LA Chargers, New England, Minnesota
Week 7: Atlanta
This ticket has been straight juice each week. That is, play the best available team on the board and damn the consequences.
Pool Eleven: LA Rams, Miami, LA Chargers, Cincinnati, Green Bay
Week 7: Denver
Pool Eleven is my strongest remaining ticket, with New England still available and two weak teams GB and Miami already pushing the ticket forward. I'd like to keep some bullets in this gun and continue to take a risk here with some obtuse picks, and hope that the faves go down in flames, leaving me with strong picks for late in the season.
I like Denver to rise up out of the ashes and put on a good display tonight on TNF, with the two-headed monster of Lindsay and Freeman piling up points and yards against the Cardinals 31st ranked rush defense. Yes, Denver has given up back to back 200 yard rushers, but Arizona ranks last in the league in total yards (220.5) and rushing (64.0). With DJ in the backfield, that means your line can't block. Denver could get well quick in this game.
Pool Fifteen: LA Chargers, KC, LA Rams, Cincinnati, Minnesota
Week 7: Tampa Bay
FiveThirtyEight has TB at 77% with an ELO point spread of -8'. Also of note, I am playing Denver and TB in the SuperContest and with cash.